On the third anniversary of the wager, the numbers are in my favor: a barrel of light sweet crude costs noticeably less than the 19.2 Big Macs which matched it in value on December 1, 2005.



Here are the annual figures so far:

	Oil	Big Mac	ratio
12/1/2005	$58.75	$3.06	19.20
12/1/2006	63.43	3.10	20.46
12/3/2007	89.31	3.41	26.19
12/1/2008	49.28	3.57	13.80

With this level of volatility, ten years is probably the very minimum term in which any kind of long-range trend will be visible. For perspective, here's the chart showing how far we have to go.




Sources:
http://www.economist.com/markets/bigmac/
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/international/crude2.html